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Lung Cancer is the Major Reason for Cancer Death in the US and Across the World.
But as lung cancer rates rise among non-smokers, new approaches are required to screen and accurately predict lung cancer risk across a broader population.

by Pragti Sharma / 16 Jan 2023 17:42 PM IST / 0 Comment(s) / 305

(LDCT)- Low-dose chest computed tomography is suggested for monitoring individuals aged 50-80 with a significant smoking history or who actively smoke. Lung cancer screening with low-dose chest computed tomography has been demonstrated to decrease lung cancer death by up to 24%.



But as lung cancer rates rise among non-smokers, new approaches are required to screen and accurately predict lung cancer risk across a broader population.



In a study conducted by investigators from the Mass General Cancer Center, an associate of Mass General Brigham, in cooperation with researchers at the (MIT)- Massachusetts Institute of Technology, created and tested an artificial intelligence tool: Sybil.



Based on analyses of low-dose chest computed tomography LDCT scans from patients in the US & Taiwan, the tool- Sybil anticipated the risk of lung cancer for people with or without a significant smoking history. Outcomes are publicized in the Journal of Clinical Oncology.



MD, MPH, director of the Center for Innovation in Early Cancer Detection and a lung cancer medical oncologist at the Mass General Cancer Center, author Lecia Sequist said lung cancer speeds continue to increase among individuals who have never smoked or who haven't smoked in years, signifying that there are multiple risk factors contributing to lung cancer risk, some of which are presently unknown.



"Instead of considering individual environmental or hereditary risk factors, we've invented a tool that can use photographs to look at collective biology and make predictions about cancer threat.



The US Preventive Service Task Force suggests annual low-dose chest computed tomographies for people over 50 years with a history of 20 pack years who either presently smoke or have stopped smoking within the last 15 years. But less than 10% of eligible patients are screened yearly.



To help enhance the efficiency of lung cancer screening and deliver individualized estimates, Sequist and associates at the Mass General Cancer Center connected with investigators from the Jameel Clinic at MIT. Using data from the National Lung Screening Trial, the team developed the tool- Sybil, a deep-learning model that examines scans and anticipates lung cancer risk for the following one to six years.



The team validated Sybil operating three independent data sets-




  1. a set of scans from over 6,000 National Lung Screening Trial (NLST) participants who Sybil had not yet seen

  2. 8,821 LDCTs from (MGH)- Massachusetts General Hospital

  3. 12,280 LDCTs from Chang Gung Memorial Hospital in Taiwan. The last set of scans contained people with a range of smoking histories, including the ones who never smoked.



Sybil accurately predicted the risk of lung cancer across these sets. The researchers determined how precise Sybil was using (AUC)- Area Under the Curve, a measure of how well a test can differentiate between disease and standard samples and in which 1.0 is a perfect score.



Sybil envisioned cancer within one year with an Area Under the Curve (AUC) of 0.92 for the additional National Lung Screening Trial participants, 0.86 for the Massachusetts General Hospital dataset, and 0.94 for the dataset from Taiwan. The programme predicted lung cancer within six years with AUCs of 0.75, 0.81, and 0.80 for the three datasets.



The researchers report that this is a retrospective study, and prospective studies that follow patients going ahead are required to validate Sybil. In addition, the US participants in the study were white (92%), and future studies will be needed to decide if Sybil can accurately indicate lung cancer among various populations.



Sequist and colleagues will open a prospective clinical trial to set Sybil to the test in the real world and comprehend how it completes the work of radiologists.



In our study, Sybil detected patterns of risk from the LDCT that were not observable to the human eye," said Sequist. "We're excited to test this programme to see if it can add information that permits radiologists with diagnostics and puts us on a way to personalize screening for patients."


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